NEW DELHI: Satellite TV (DTH or DBS) revenues will overtake total cable TV revenues in 2015, and the growth of digitisation in India will have a major role to play in this.
According to Digital TV Research, India will add the most satellite TV revenues to the tune of $2.5 billion, moving from tenth to fifth place between 2014 and 2020.
India will add $3.2 billion in digital cable TV revenues to take its total to $4.3 billion. India’s revenues will climb by $4.7 billion between 2014 and 2020, with China up by $1.6 billion and Japan increasing by $1.1 billion.
Covering 138 countries, the Digital TV World Revenue Forecasts report estimates that satellite TV accounted for 44 per cent of the total in 2014, going up to 46 per cent by 2020. However, cable TV revenues (both analogue and digital) will drop from 46 per cent of the total in 2014 to 40 per cent in 2020. Meanwhile, IPTV – the fastest growing platform – will climb from a 10 per cent share in 2014 to 13 per cent by 2020.
Satellite TV revenues will reach $94.8 billion in 2020. The United States will remain satellite TV market leader. Brazil will be second by 2020 ($6.8 billion); having overtaken the United Kingdom in 2013. However, the US will fall by $421 million, Canada by $805 million and France by $232 million.
Global cable TV revenues peaked at $93.8 billion in 2012, and will fall to $81.9 billion in 2020. However, cable operators will gain extra revenues by converting subscribers to bundles. Analogue cable TV revenues will plummet by $14.4 billion between 2014 and 2020 to only $1.5 billion.
Digital cable TV revenues will climb by 5.6 per cent from $76.1 billion in 2014 to $80.3 billion in 2020 – or up by nearly $19 billion between 2010 and 2020. Digital cable TV revenues in the US will fall by $8.9 billion between 2014 and 2020 to $34.1 billion. In fact, digital cable TV revenues will drop for 20 countries over the same period. Second-placed China will increase its revenues by $2.1 billion to $8.9 billion and third-placed Japan by $2.0 billion to $5.1 billion.
IPTV revenues will climb to $27.9 billion in 2020; triple the 2010 figure. US IPTV revenues will increase by $1.3 billion between 2014 and 2020 to $9.5 billion, with Canada second with $2.3 billion. Third-placed China will be up by $1.1 billion to $2.1 billion – just ahead of Japan.
Pay-TV revenues will more than double in 33 countries between 2014 and 2020. Most of the fast growing nations by percentage increase will be in Africa, with Myanmar, Laos and Bangladesh providing notable exceptions. India’s revenues will climb by $4.7 billion between 2014 and 2020, with China up by $1.6 billion and Japan increasing by $1.1 billion.
Global pay TV revenues (subscription fees and on-demand movies and TV episodes) will only grow by 2.6 per cent between 2014 and 2020 to $207 billion. This follows 14.5 per cent growth between 2010 and 2014.
Total revenues in North America will fall by 11.7 per cent (or $12 billion) between 2014 and 2020. Western Europe will be flat at $32 billion.
On a more positive note, revenues will grow by nearly $10 billion (up by 30 per cent) in the Asia Pacific region to $42 billion. Asia Pacific will overtake Western Europe in 2015, and will be larger than the whole of Europe by 2019. Eastern Europe will add $1 billion (up by 17 per cent) between 2014 and 2020. Latin America will add a further $2.6 billion (up by 13 per cent) between 2014 and 2020.
Revenues will rocket by 76 per cent (up by $2.7 billion) in the Sub-Saharan Africa region and by 32 per cent (up by $1.4 billion) in Middle East and North Africa. Sub-Saharan Africa will pass Middle East region in 2018.
